A Trip in the Drumming

So fourteen US Intelligence Agencies have joined together (as they are known, from time to time, to do) and released a National Intelligence Estimate called Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities, snappy title, huh?

And what sort of assessment do our favourite conglomerate of spooks have to say about this country from the Axis of Evil?

We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear programme

Sorry? I was expecting that with drummer boy Georgie junior leading the charge, his cloak and dagger army would, I don’t know, not actually be allowed to say what they actually thought and just make shit up like last time … apparently not (and before some nut bag says I’m being selective about what text I’m printing – yes, it does go on to say that it appears Iran have not shut the door on developing nuclear weapons, I don’t doubt that at all, but thinking about it and actually doing it are two very different things).

It would seem that international pressure in the form of the UN keeping a firm eye on Iran seems to be working … threatening them with military strikes seems to have the effect of them thinking “hmm, we may actually need nuclear weapons one day, because some one else who has them will probably use them against us” … just a thought.

Having read a lot of parlimentary briefs, bills, and some of the most excruciatingly unreadable political reporting over the last few months, this is the best written government report I have ever read – straight forward, in plain English, easy enough for a small child to understand … so no excuses to misinterpret it’s findings this time, yes?

Apparently not.

The best diplomacy — effective diplomacy — is one in which all options are on the table

Which means to still have the ability to threaten them with military might – diplomacy the old school way … doesn’t ever bring up residual problems that …


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